FNUS74 KEPZ 161408
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FT STANTON FEATHER CAVE RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
708 AM MST WED JAN 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0640 MST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WE WILL SEE ONE MORE DAY WITH DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES
...AS NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE BURN AREA.  EXPECT NOTICEABLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES BEGINNING THURSDAY...AS A CHANGING WEATHER PATTERN
STARTS TO FAVOR A MORE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION AND BURN LOCATION.
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY...AND WILL BRING
A FEW HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS TO THE AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DRAINAGES 1-4 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST
                    THROUGH 0900L...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTERWARDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 2700-4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....1800 KNOT-FT (POOR) EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 37800 KNOT-FT (POOR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AFT 2100L...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH 4 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL EARLY...LOWERING TO 800 FT AGL AFT 2000L
                    ...THEN DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....7500 KNOT-FT (POOR) EARLY IN THE MORNING...LOWERING
                    TO 2400 KNOT-FT (POOR) AFT 2000L...THEN DECREASING
                    TO 450 KNOT-FT BEFORE MIDNIGHT.



.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES 1-3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH AFTER 0900L...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH.
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 2700-4300 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....1800 KNOT-FT (POOR) EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 38700 KNOT-FT (POOR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...JAMES SAVAGE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130116.FTSTA.01/EPZ