FNUS73 KDVN 171537
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOP PILES...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
937 AM CST THU JAN 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS WILL MIGRATE EAST ACROSS IOWA
TODAY...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER AND NORTHWEST WINDS. SCATTERED LOW
TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO EASTERN IOWA BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTHERLY AS THE RIDGE AXIS
PASSES TO THE EAST. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL THEN STRENGTHEN TO 15
TO 25 MPH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........24 AT IGNITION...MAX 31.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FEET...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............24     29     31     30
RH..............62     53     51     55
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     8      8
MIX HGT (FT)....500   1900   2100   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16  NW 13  NW 13  NW 9
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 18.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........GRADUAL SHIFT FROM LIGHT NW TO SW BY MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO BELOW 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 22
                    TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130117.SHOPP.01/DVN