FNUS72 KILM 171609 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR COVELL TRACT...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1109 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO A PERIOD OF WIND AND RAIN WITH THE BRUNT OF THE UNSETTLED WEATHER ARRIVING LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NEAR RECORD WARMTH WILL BE REPLACED BY A WINTER CHILL BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............32. MAX LVORI...........7. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (459-38065 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............91 97 98 99 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................66 67 66 63 RH..................76 73 74 72 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 2 W 5 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1400 2200 3100 2800 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 6 E 3 SE 6 E 14 LVORI...............4 3 3 3 ADI.................10 7 14 32 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...8 7 18 38 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 23 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX ADI.............40. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (29209-64629 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............99 96 99 94 78 52 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 55 51 46 42 38 RH..................72 72 73 74 77 82 20 FT WIND..........NE 10 NE 12 NE 13 N 13 N 12 N 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........2100 1800 2500 2400 2100 1800 TRANSPORT WIND......E 20 NE 18 N 12 N 23 N 30 N 26 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................39 34 25 31 40 30 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...41 33 29 56 63 48 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130117.COVEL.01/ILM