FNUS72 KMFL 171350
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CPI-4...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
850 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL RAPIDLY
SHIFT TO THE EAST THROUGH THIS MORNING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN SITE EARLY
THIS EVENING WITH HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDING BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A LIGHT TRANSPORT WIND INITIALLY
BECOMING SOUTH AT AROUND 5 MPH LATE THIS MORNING AND THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND INCREASING TO AROUND
15 MPH. THE DISPERSION WILL POOR TO FAIR THIS MORNING AND BECOMING
GENERALLY GOOD BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH GOOD DISPERSION
TONIGHT. THERE COULD ALSO BE A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
FRONT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST MOVING TOWARDS THE BURN SITE
THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT THE SHOWERS WILL REMAIN ISOLATED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........59     59     70     70     70     63
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     80     82     80     74     68
RH..............69     56     51     53     60     68
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    S 6    W 7    W 7    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   3500   4000   3500   3500   2100
MIXNG WIND......S 9    S 9    S 12   W 15   W 15   NW 15
DISPERSION IDX..31     31     45     39     39     20
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      1      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 8 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 41.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...LEROY YATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130117.CPI4_.01/MFL