FNUS75 KPUB 170059
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER PEAK PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
559 PM MST WED JAN 16 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  DIURNALLY DRIVEN UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AND
DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH SOUTHERLY LIGHT WINDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  FLOW ALOFT WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WITH POOR SMOKE DISPERSALS.

WILL HAVE THE MID SHIFT PRODUCE AN UPDATED FORECAST BEFORE 7AM ON
THURSDAY MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-15F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW 2 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 1200 BECOMING SOUTHERLY
                    3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 6000 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1400...THEN 2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130117.DEERP.01/PUB