FNUS72 KJAX 182135
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS STUDY AREA...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
435 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1355 EST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE AREA
SATURDAY WHICH WILL PROVIDE AN ONSHORE FLOW RESULTING IN RH'S
ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES MOST AREAS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK
INTO THE AREA SUNDAY BRINGING IN DRIER AIR TO THE INLAND AREAS
AGAIN WITH MIN RH'S FALLING TO SLIGHTLY BELOW CRITICAL VALUES
BUT NO RED FLAG EXPECTED. AFTER TODAY...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE
LESS THAN 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 14
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     19     20     20     25     29
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TEMP............57     46     43     41     39     37
RH..............43     68     76     81     86     92
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 7   NE 6   N 6    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   1200   900    600    400    600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 21  NE 17  NE 13  NE 9   NE 9   NE 13
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      6
DISPERSION INDX.52     28     16     5      5      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 41 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........33     36     39     42     38     32
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     37     51     63     68     68
RH..............99     100    79     53     45     47
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 6    NE 7   NE 7   NE 7   NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1100   1900   2600   3000   3000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 16  NE 17  NE 15  E 13   E 12   NE 12
LVORI...........8      8      3      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.8      9      37     43     44     44
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE BULLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130118.WILDE.01/JAX