FNUS72 KJAX 191226 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS STUDY AREA...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 726 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON JANUARY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER THE OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS TODAY...AND WILL FALL BACK SLIGHTLY ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHT AND FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES ARE NOT EXPECTED. WIND DIRECTION WILL SHIFT FROM NORTH-NORTHEAST EARLY THIS MORNING TO MORE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF EAST WINDS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION ON MONDAY... WITH A SEASONABLY COOL AND DRY AIR MASS EXPECTED TO SETTLE OVER OUR AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 30 IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING 65 BY EARLY AFTERNOON 46 DECREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LVORI...............2. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........10 14 30 45 48 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 55 66 70 70 70 RH..............77 67 51 42 47 50 20 FT WIND......NNE 6 NE 7 NE 8 NE 8 NE 8 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2000 3500 4500 4400 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 18 E 18 E 15 NE 9 NE 8 NE 9 LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 DISPERSION INDX.28 43 65 50 46 42 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LVORI...............7. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........38 38 40 42 42 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 55 51 47 45 45 RH..............59 82 92 98 100 100 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 3 NE 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 1000 500 200 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10 NE 9 NE 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 LVORI...........3 4 6 10 9 9 DISPERSION INDX.6 5 3 2 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LVORI...............5. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...MARLENE BULLARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130119.WILDE.01/JAX