FNUS72 KTAE 211318
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 600A...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
818 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA TODAY. IN ITS WAKE...COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD
THE REGION INTO TUESDAY. LATER TODAY...MINIMUM INLAND HUMIDITES
WILL DROP TO THE MID 30S BUT DISPERSIONS AND ERC VALUES SHOULD NOT
BE HIGH ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY A RED FLAG WARNING. HOWEVER ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON... INCREASING DISPERSION AND EXPECTED HIGHER ERC ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA WILL COMBINE WITH HUMIDITIES PLUMMETING
TO AROUND 20 PERCENT TO NECESSITATE THE ISSUANCE OF A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE
THE AIR MASS BEGINS TO MOISTEN UP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4900 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........72.
LVORI...............4 EARLY THIS MORNING DECREASING TO 2 BY MID
                    MORNING.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........29     29     31     35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     61     64     64
RH..............55     45     39     38
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 5    N 6    NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     10
LVORI...........4      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION..........5.
LVORI...............1 THIS EVENING INCREASING TO 3 OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........35     35     35     35     36     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     53     49     46     44     43
RH..............40     63     70     72     68     63
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 4    N 4    N 5    N 5    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
LVORI...........2      1      3      3      3      3


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........65.
LVORI...............1 NEAR SUNRISE INCREASING TO 2 THE REST OF THE DAY.


TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........20     5      5      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     41     48     52     56     57
RH..............60     55     39     31     26     27
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
LVORI...........1      1      2      2      2      2


$$
FORECASTER...JOEL LANIER
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130121.600A_.01/TAE