FNUS72 KTAE 221319
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 300...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
819 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

..DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY
WILL BE SUPPRESSED UNDERNEATH A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION...REACHING
ONLY AROUND 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT. HYSPLIT RUNS SUGGEST
THAT ANY SMOKE WOULD BE LIKELY TO HEAD JUST TO THE WEST OF DUE
SOUTH...CROSSING SURF ROAD / CR 372...PASSING JUST EAST OF
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER STATE PARK...AND REMAINING MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF
US HIGHWAY 319. PANACEA WOULD LIKELY NOT BE AFFECTED. IT WILL BE A
CHILLY NIGHT WITH A VERY SHARP INVERSION NEAR THE SURFACE AS WELL
AS CALM WINDS...SO ANY LINGERING SMOKE FROM SMOLDERING BRUSH WOULD
NOT BE EXPECTED TO DISPERSE WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION TIME...RISING TO
         x09    2200-2700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 11 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........45     42     40     37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     56     58     60
RH..............39     33     28     26
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 6    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     12     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........25     20     15     15     15     15
WEATHER COV.....                                   PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST
TEMP............54     49     45     42     39     37
RH..............35     51     56     62     67     71
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 2    N 1    N 0    N 0    N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.7      5      3      2      2      2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........11     11     18     18     26     25
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     34     45     52     60     61
RH..............76     78     53     43     35     35
20 FT WIND......N 1    N 1    N 2    N 2    N 3    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.3      3      4      5      6      6

$$

FORECASTER...ALEX LAMERS
REQUESTED BY...JOEY LORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130122.UNIT3.01/TAE