FNUS71 KAKQ 231440 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORTERS WHARF...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 940 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE TRAVERSES THE REGION TODAY THEN MOVES OFF THE COAST OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A CLIPPER SYSTEM...WHICH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY AND SETTLES OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSES THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL AROUND NOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 64 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................22 23 24 25 26 27 27 26 25 RH..................37 31 30 29 28 27 27 27 29 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.5 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.9 2.7 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 13 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....18 21 21 21 20 18 17 15 13 VRATE KT-FT/1000....25 58 63 65 65 62 57 52 30 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 ADI.................37 69 72 73 70 67 62 56 9 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............74 84 86 89 89 89 92 92 92 90 90 90 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........ SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TSTM COV............ TEMP................22 20 18 18 18 18 19 19 20 20 20 20 RH..................37 44 51 56 59 61 61 64 64 67 71 74 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 60 60 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......W W NW N N N N N N NE NE N 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W NW N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 9 7 7 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 14 VRATE KT-FT/1000....14 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................7 6 5 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 10 15 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............86 86 86 37 37 37 37 37 37 17 17 17 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TSTM COV............ TEMP................19 20 21 23 25 26 26 27 27 28 27 26 RH..................77 74 68 59 52 48 46 42 42 40 42 42 CHC OF PCPN (%).....60 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.3 3.4 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 12 12 13 14 14 15 14 13 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE N N N N N NW NW N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 18 23 28 31 32 33 32 31 29 26 25 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 4 19 40 64 82 97 109 109 106 103 76 LVORI...............3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................17 20 28 48 66 77 84 88 86 82 77 34 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 FORECASTER...MCGEE REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130123.SHORT.01/AKQ