FNUS72 KILM 231624 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR KEITH F BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1124 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CONTINUES TODAY AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WEATHER. LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO THE WEST THIS AFTN...WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL TO 25 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT AND REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL CROSS THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS ALABAMA AND GEORGIA FRIDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SNOW AND SLEET TO THE INTERIOR CAROLINAS... WHILE A COLD RAIN FALLS NEAR THE COAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN TAKE CONTROL OF THE WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND...BUT WARMER CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH. MAX ADI.............35. MAX LVORI...........2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (18400-34845 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............4 7 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................37 41 42 RH..................26 21 24 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 NW 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2700 3400 3200 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 10 NW 10 W 8 LVORI...............1 1 2 ADI.................31 35 27 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...28 35 26 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH. MAX ADI.............7. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (114-8049 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............15 17 19 21 26 32 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 32 30 30 31 32 RH..................34 50 58 63 69 76 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 0 S 2 SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1200 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7 SW 8 SW 10 SW 12 SW 13 W 15 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 3 4 ADI.................3 4 5 5 6 7 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...8 0 3 3 3 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 26 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............110. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1839-38180 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (133055-155595 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............36 36 27 19 13 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................32 35 42 41 40 39 RH..................77 61 43 39 37 35 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 6 NW 10 N 12 N 11 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)........100 800 2600 4500 5400 5300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 15 W 18 NW 26 N 28 N 28 N 28 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................11 15 59 81 87 87 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 15 70 124 148 146 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130123.KEITH.01/ILM