FNUS72 KILM 231425 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIDBURY BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 925 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON JANUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CONTINUES TODAY AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WEATHER. LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO THE WEST THIS AFTN...WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL TO 25 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT AND REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL CROSS THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS ALABAMA AND GEORGIA FRIDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SNOW AND SLEET TO THE INTERIOR CAROLINAS... WHILE A COLD RAIN FALLS NEAR THE COAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN TAKE CONTROL OF THE WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND...BUT WARMER CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTN. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH. MAX ADI.............35. MAX LVORI...........2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2645-33925 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............2 5 8 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 42 43 42 RH..................24 22 24 29 20 FT WIND..........N 5 NW 3 W 3 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2200 3000 3400 2200 TRANSPORT WIND......N 12 NW 10 W 9 W 7 LVORI...............1 1 1 2 ADI.................30 33 31 20 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...25 31 31 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 18 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............12. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (229-7819 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............13 14 15 16 20 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 33 31 32 33 35 RH..................36 54 67 76 79 77 20 FT WIND..........W 2 SW 0 SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1100 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 7 SW 8 SW 10 SW 13 SW 15 W 17 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 4 4 ADI.................3 4 5 6 7 12 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...8 0 3 3 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 28 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX ADI.............91. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2415-39445 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (126384-153180 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............37 39 30 22 16 13 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 38 44 46 46 45 RH..................77 67 48 40 35 33 20 FT WIND..........W 6 W 7 NW 10 NW 11 N 11 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........100 800 2600 4400 5300 5200 TRANSPORT WIND......W 18 W 22 NW 26 N 29 N 29 N 28 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................14 24 59 83 90 86 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 18 68 126 151 144 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130123.SIDBU.01/ILM