FNUS72 KILM 231641 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDLIFE BURN HS...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1141 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1340 EST ON JANUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CONTINUES TODAY AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WEATHER. LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO THE WEST THIS AFTN...WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL TO 25 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT AND REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL CROSS THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS ALABAMA AND GEORGIA FRIDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SNOW AND SLEET TO THE INTERIOR CAROLINAS... WHILE A COLD RAIN FALLS NEAR THE COAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN TAKE CONTROL OF THE WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND...BUT WARMER CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...BACKING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH. MAX ADI.............37. MAX LVORI...........2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (15409-34730 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............6 9 12 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 42 42 RH..................23 24 28 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3000 3400 2200 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 12 W 9 W 7 LVORI...............1 1 2 ADI.................37 31 20 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...35 31 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING WEST 17 TO 18 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............12. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (229-7819 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............14 16 17 18 22 29 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 32 30 31 33 35 RH..................36 54 65 75 78 77 20 FT WIND..........W 2 SW 0 SW 2 SW 2 SW 5 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1100 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 7 SW 7 SW 10 SW 13 SW 15 W 17 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 4 4 ADI.................3 3 5 6 7 12 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...8 0 3 3 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 28 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX ADI.............94. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2300-40020 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (128224-158815 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............38 35 27 19 15 15 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 38 44 43 42 41 RH..................77 59 42 40 37 35 20 FT WIND..........W 6 W 8 NW 10 NW 11 N 11 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)........100 800 2600 4500 5300 5200 TRANSPORT WIND......W 18 W 22 NW 26 N 29 N 30 N 29 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................14 25 59 84 94 90 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 18 69 128 159 151 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130123.WILDL.01/ILM