FNUS74 KLZK 231340 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 740 AM CST WED JAN 23 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MIXING HEIGHTS WILL START BELOW 3000 FEET THIS MORNING BUT THEY WILL APPROACH 3000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AS BETTER MIXING OF THE ATMOSPHERE TAKES PLACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. OTHERWISE MOISTURE LEVELS WILL SLOWLY RISE TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES TO THE EAST...AND SOUTH WIND FLOW RETURNS. TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE STATE...GENERATING SOME PRECIPITATION. ONLY SOME LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...THOUGH SOME SPOTS COULD BE COLD ENOUGH TO SEE SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE BY LATE THU INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH COLD AIR EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF AR. MOISTURE WILL OVERRIDE THIS FRONT TO THE SOUTH...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST ONCE AGAIN FOR THU NIGHT INTO FRI. SOME FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. AT THIS TIME...ANY ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE WILL BE LIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 TO 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH WINDS. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............57 61 63 64 64 63 RH..............66 60 56 55 55 57 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.16 20 22 24 23 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTH WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....NONE...THEN LIGHT. WEATHER TYPE....NONE...THEN LIGHT RAIN TEMP............59 57 55 53 52 52 52 51 50 50 48 48 RH..............65 69 73 77 78 79 79 80 81 82 87 86 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW S S SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW SW S S SE SE E EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SE E TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 15 14 13 12 10 10 9 9 10 12 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF DRIZZLE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48. RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL TEMP............48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 47 46 RH..............85 81 78 74 71 68 65 65 65 65 66 68 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 20 22 22 21 20 20 20 20 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130123.HORSE.01/LZK