FNUS72 KMHX 231617
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMAS BURN...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1117 AM EST WED JAN 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ALONG THE GULF COAST TODAY. A FAST
MOVING BUT DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION THURSDAY WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST FRIDAY. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH THIS WEEKEND. THE
HIGH WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............10     16     20     26
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................31     35     38     37
RH..................26     21     21     26
20 FT WIND..........NW 9   NW 9   W 8    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     10
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................56     58     54     35
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............29     33     40     46     50     56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36     31     30     29     28     28
RH..................30     39     46     53     60     66
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   SW 1   SW 3   S 4    S 5    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5      5      10     10
LVORI...............2      2      2      2      3      3
ADI.................18     6      6      3      5      5
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...DAIL
REQUESTED BY...PETE STEPONKUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130123.THOMA.01/MHX