FNUS76 KSTO 231347
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTHFORK HAND PILES...STANISLAUS NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
547 AM PST WED JAN 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE FIRST STORM IN OVER TWO WEEKS WILL BRING LIGHT RAIN OVER THE
BURN AREA BEGINNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.
RAIN WILL DIMINISH BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT ONLY RAIN AS
SNOW LEVELS STAY ABOVE 6500 FEET. A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN RETURNS
FRIDAY...BUT MAINLY JUST CLOUDS. INCREASED CHANCES OF SHOWERS EXIST
OVER THE WEEKEND. RAIN COULD CHANGE TO SNOW SUNDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT AT IGNITION.
x09x09    AROUND 25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH WITH AFTERNOON
x09x09    GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
x09x09    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL EARLY IN
x09x09    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL
x09x09    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 1 TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 6 MPH SHIFTING SOUTHWEST IN THE
x09x09    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT BY MID
x09x09    MORNING.


FORECASTER...JCLAPP
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CONES
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130123.SOUTH.01/STO

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