FNUS72 KILM 241413 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR BOILING SPRINGS BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 913 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1020 EST ON JANUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SUDDEN WIND SHIFT FROM WEST TO NORTH...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH AFTER ABOUT 11 AM NEAR THIS BURN. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH AND BECOME INCREASINGLY GUSTY THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP THROUGH THE AFTN...AS WILL DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY. WINDS VEER TO THE NORTHEAST AND DECREASE VERY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO INTERIOR NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT...THEN WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST FRIDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SLEET POSSIBLE AWAY FROM THE COAST. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY MILDER TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH. MAX ADI.............84. MAX LVORI...........1. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42090-97749 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (103844-129719 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............22 14 8 6 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 47 44 40 RH..................62 48 40 39 20 FT WIND..........W 10 NW 12 N 12 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)........2400 4000 4700 4400 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 30 NW 29 N 29 N 29 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 ADI.................64 80 82 77 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...72 115 129 117 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............16. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (49104-87630 MPH-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (2760-26794 MPH-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............4 3 2 8 14 19 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 30 26 24 23 23 RH..................45 54 65 72 77 78 20 FT WIND..........N 8 N 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........3600 2100 500 200 200 300 TRANSPORT WIND......N 24 N 23 NE 22 NE 21 NE 18 NE 15 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 4 4 ADI.................16 15 15 14 8 7 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...88 49 11 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............32. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2415-33465 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............31 41 51 76 92 100 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................22 27 39 44 45 45 RH..................81 69 48 48 59 76 20 FT WIND..........NE 4 NE 4 NE 4 E 5 SE 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 500 1100 1800 2100 1900 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 12 E 9 E 9 SE 12 S 14 S 17 LVORI...............4 3 2 2 2 3 ADI.................9 7 13 26 27 32 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 4 11 21 29 32 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130124.BOILI.01/ILM