FNUS72 KILM 241549 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SLEEPY CREEK2...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1049 AM EST THU JAN 24 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON JANUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS PASSED SOUTH OF THE BURN LOCATION AND NORTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WHILE TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS FALL. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO 30 PERCENT AS WELL. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND SLOWLY EASE AFTER DARK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO INTERIOR NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT...THEN WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST FRIDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SLEET POSSIBLE AWAY FROM THE COAST. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY MILDER TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 31 MPH. MAX ADI.............90. MAX LVORI...........1. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (99244-144210 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............18 9 7 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 41 39 36 RH..................49 34 31 31 20 FT WIND..........N 10 N 15 N 15 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 30 30 20 MIX HGT (FT)........3300 4600 4800 4700 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 30 N 30 N 29 N 25 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 ADI.................75 89 87 75 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...99 139 139 119 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20. MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-2000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............16. MAX LVORI...........2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (67275-108444 MPH-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR TO GOOD (2760-40480 MPH-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............4 3 3 8 14 19 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................34 30 26 24 23 22 RH..................33 40 47 51 50 48 20 FT WIND..........N 7 NE 4 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........4500 3100 1000 300 200 300 TRANSPORT WIND......N 24 NE 22 NE 20 NE 18 NE 16 NE 14 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................16 10 9 8 7 6 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...108 67 20 6 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SLEET LATE. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............25. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2415-26449 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............32 42 49 79 96 100 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE SLEET RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................21 24 33 38 39 38 RH..................47 41 30 32 44 66 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 NE 3 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 400 1100 1700 2000 1900 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 12 E 10 E 9 SE 10 S 13 S 13 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 2 3 ADI.................12 8 12 22 25 24 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 5 10 17 26 24 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130124.SLEEP.02/ILM