FNUS72 KJAX 242129
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MATANZAS STATE PARK...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
429 PM EST THU JAN 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1745 EST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND BECOME NORTH BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME NORTHEAST AS
A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES ON FRIDAY AS ONSHORE WINDS CONTINUE BUT WEAKEN.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH...THEN NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47 THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO 12.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........33     39     43     43     60     72
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     60     57     55     53     52
RH..............56     70     82     86     95     100
20 FT WIND......NW 8   N 8    N 9    NE 12  NE 12  NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   1900   1100   800    300    100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13  N 14   NE 15  NE 13  NE 10  NE 9
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     20     20     20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO
                    9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 31 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........79     72     70     73     57     43
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............51     53     61     64     66     67
RH..............100    100    84     76     72     69
20 FT WIND......NE 8   NE 7   E 6    E 5    NE 3   W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10            5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....100    100    1000   2300   2600   1900
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8   NE 7   E 8    E 10   S 10   W 7
LVORI...........7      7      4      3      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     10

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...LT  J  ASBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130124.MATAN.01/JAX