FNUS73 KPAH 241603 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR 012413FCTA43A...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1003 AM CST THU JAN 24 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON JANUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY...BRINGING A WINTRY MIX TO THE AREA. MOST OF THE WINTRY MIX SHOULD DEPART THE AREA BEFORE NOON ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY MORNING. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY CHANGING ANY PRECIP TO LIQUID. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 32. RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION AND STEADY. FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............31 31 31 31 31 RH..............39 39 39 39 41 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 18 17 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE SNOW SNOW SNOW TEMP............30 29 28 28 28 28 RH..............42 46 50 53 63 75 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 E 4 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2600 2000 1600 1600 1700 TRANSPORT WIND..E 17 SE 17 SE 18 SE 20 S 22 S 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 39. RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................47 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 26 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....FZRAIN FZRAIN NONE NONE TEMP............27 30 35 38 RH..............88 92 82 70 20 FT WIND......S 4G10 SW 4G10 W 6G15 W 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2100 1400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 26 W 25 SW 13 CWR.............50 50 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...ERIC STRICKLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130124.01241.01/PAH