FNUS75 KGJT 250555
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH CARBONDALE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1055 PM MST THU JAN 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON JANUARY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH TODAY...
WITH THE FLOW THEN BENDING BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AS ANOTHER STRONG
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE FOUR CORNERS BY EARLY SATURDAY. THIS WILL
BRING A BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW TO THE BURN SITE BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH IMPROVED MIXING CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF THE BURN
                    SITE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    WEST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 34000 KNOT-FT) BY 1300.
                    EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN AND NEAR SNOW SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 3000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH BY 1900.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10600-12000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 3000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 25000 KNOT-FT BY 1300).
                    EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN AND NEAR SNOW SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 2500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...MATT RINGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130125.NORTH.01/GJT