FNUS75 KGJT 260450
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PTARMIGAN PILES...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
950 PM MST FRI JAN 25 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON JANUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE BURN
SITE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND BRINGING A MIXED BAG OF WEATHER...
INCLUDING RAIN AND SNOW. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE RUNNING BETWEEN 8500
AND 9000 FEET TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY...DROPPING TO AROUND 8000
FEET OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF EXCELLENT SMOKE
DISPERSAL AS THE SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    WEST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (UNDER 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING FAIR. EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN AND NEAR
                    SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 2700 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-18 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH BY 1900.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (DROPPING TO UNDER 10000 KNOT-FT)
                    BY 1800. EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN AND NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 1800.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1300. EXCEPT
                    EXCELLENT IN AND NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 3200 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH INCREASING TO 28 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...T  TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130126.PTARM.01/GJT