FNUS74 KBMX 282142
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOOP ROAD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
342 PM CST MON JAN 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1555 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE VALUES HAVE INCREASED TODAY AHEAD OF A VERY
STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
SETS UP. SUSTAINED 20 FT WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL BE LIKELY WITH GUSTS
OF 30-50 MPH POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. GENERALLY 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED... WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT CONDITIONS WILL BE DRIER AND COOLER... BUT RH VALUES SHOULD
STAY ABOVE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     56     54     52     52     52
RH..............79     82     88     93     96     96
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 1    E 2    S 6    S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      <5     5      10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   600    400    300    200    300
TRANSPORT WIND..160/10 150/9  150/8  140/7  140/6  140/8
DISPERSION......16     7      0      5      4      7

.TUESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............52     55     59     65     68     68
RH..............100    100    87     69     63     68
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 7    S 8    S 10   S 12   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     20     25
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....400    500    700    1300   3000   2900
TRANSPORT WIND..160/12 170/12 170/10 180/12 190/20 190/21
DISPERSION......10     10     9      17     47     49

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130128.LOOPR.02/BMX