FNUS72 KILM 281723
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUNSWICK CO BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1223 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL DRIFT OFFSHORE RESULTING IN ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID WEEK. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COLDER TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
MAX ADI.............12.
MAX LVORI...........9.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1035-8855 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............77     70     65     69     74     79
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53     52     51     49     48     48
RH..................86     89     91     92     91     93
20 FT WIND..........S 5    SW 4   SW 3   SW 3   SW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........900    100    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   W 9
LVORI...............4      5      6      8      8      8
ADI.................12     11     11     7      6      6
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...9      1      3      3      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3200 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
MAX ADI.............46.
MAX LVORI...........9.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1494-43585 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............73     66     62     58     54     50
WEATHER COV.........PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47     51     60     66     70     69
RH..................96     100    82     74     66     68
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   W 5    W 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)........200    400    1100   2200   3000   2900
TRANSPORT WIND......W 8    W 10   W 13   SW 14  SW 14  SW 13
LVORI...............9      8      4      3      1      1
ADI.................5      7      11     28     44     40
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1      4      14     30     42     37

$$
FORECASTER...KREITNER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130128.BRUNS.01/ILM