FNUS72 KILM 281822 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 122 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1335 EST ON JANUARY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL DRIFT OFFSHORE RESULTING IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID WEEK. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COLDER TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1600-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............25. MAX LVORI...........9. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1609-28404 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............84 84 81 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 57 56 RH..................66 68 74 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........2200 2500 1600 TRANSPORT WIND......S 10 S 12 S 10 LVORI...............3 3 3 ADI.................21 25 18 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...22 28 17 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH. MAX ADI.............12. MAX LVORI...........8. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (919-9085 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............88 82 75 79 85 93 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 52 50 48 48 48 RH..................80 87 90 95 95 93 20 FT WIND..........S 5 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........900 100 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 W 9 LVORI...............4 5 5 5 5 6 ADI.................12 11 11 7 7 6 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...9 1 3 3 3 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. MAX ADI.............44. MAX LVORI...........9. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1724-41630 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............85 65 61 56 52 48 WEATHER COV......... PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........NONE FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 51 61 66 70 69 RH..................94 97 75 68 63 64 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 3 W 5 W 6 SW 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 400 1000 2300 3000 2700 TRANSPORT WIND......W 9 W 10 W 13 W 14 SW 14 SW 13 LVORI...............8 8 4 3 1 1 ADI.................6 7 11 29 44 38 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 4 13 31 42 34 $$ FORECASTER...KREITNER REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130128.MARSH.01/ILM