FNUS72 KTAE 282314
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR FFS ASSIST...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
614 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1744 EST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...
THIS EVENING THERE SHOULD BE A FAIRLY STRONG INVERSION SETTING IN
BETWEEN SUNSET AND 11 PM...WHICH WILL LIMIT VERTICAL SMOKE
DISPERSION AROUND THE WILDFIRE LOCATION. COMBINED WITH VERY LIGHT
OR CALM WINDS...AND INCREASING HUMIDITY POSSIBLY CONTRIBUTING TO
SOME AREAS OF FOG...THESE CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO SOME AREAS OF
REDUCED VISIBILITY IMMEDIATELY AROUND THE WILDFIRE LOCATION. BASED
ON A HYSPLIT SMOKE DISPERSION MODEL RUN...THIS COULD AFFECT AREAS
NEAR HIGHWAY 65...ESPECIALLY NEAR BRICKYARD ROAD AND AL'S LANDING
ROAD AS VERY LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO EAST WIND CONTINUES. THE LVORI IS
FORECAST TO REACH A VALUE OF 9 IN THE AREA WHICH CORRESPONDS TO A
GREATER LIKELIHOOD OF REDUCED VISIBILITY. THIS WOULD BE MOST
LIKELY BETWEEN 11 PM AND 9 AM. SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD IMPROVE BY
MID TO LATE MORNING AS VERTICAL MIXING INCREASES WITH DAYLIGHT.

IF DENSE SMOKE ON AREA HIGHWAYS BECOMES AN ISSUE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT THE PHONE NUMBER ABOVE AND WE CAN
COMMUNICATE THE INFORMATION VIA A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    300-400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING CALM.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........60     70     75     75     77     75
WEATHER COV.....                                   AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
TEMP............72     66     62     61     60     59
RH..............68     88     92     94     95     96
20 FT WIND......SE 4   SE 3   SE 2   E 2    E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7      6      5      4      4      4
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 3   SE 2   SE 0   E 0    E 0    E 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      4      2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AT 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 7 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........75     75     71     71     67     70
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     63     67     71     75     74
RH..............100    90     89     78     69     72
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 5   SE 6   SE 8   SE 9   SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.7      10     11     14     16     18
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 0   SE 2   SE 4   SE 6   SE 8   SE 8
EYE LEVEL WIND..2      4      8      10     13     13

$$

FORECASTER...ALEX LAMERS
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE BURNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130128.FFSAS.01/TAE