FNUS72 KILM 291437 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR PROSPER BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 937 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE AREA AND REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH WEDNESDAY IN SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFF SHORE. RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND POSSIBLY A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY AS POTENT STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THE END OF THE WEEK AND THE UPCOMING WEEKEND LOOK DRY AND COOL AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1600-2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH. MAX ADI.............52. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5520-46115 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............46 37 40 42 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 69 70 68 RH..................72 63 68 73 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1300 2500 2600 1600 TRANSPORT WIND......W 12 W 17 SW 16 SW 13 LVORI...............3 1 1 3 ADI.................19 49 47 27 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...15 43 42 21 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH. MAX ADI.............13. MAX LVORI...........8. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1035-10005 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............44 48 53 58 61 61 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................65 61 60 61 61 61 RH..................81 93 98 97 96 96 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........900 100 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 15 LVORI...............4 6 8 6 5 5 ADI.................10 8 8 9 12 13 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...10 1 3 3 3 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............65. MAX LVORI...........5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2645-45310 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54739-79350 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............60 67 70 72 75 80 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 58 66 70 73 72 RH..................97 99 79 71 65 68 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 11 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 30 35 35 40 MIX HGT (FT)........200 500 1400 2400 2900 2600 TRANSPORT WIND......S 16 S 21 S 23 S 25 S 26 S 28 LVORI...............5 5 3 3 1 1 ADI.................18 23 35 54 62 61 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...3 11 31 60 77 71 $$ FORECASTER...ZOUZIAS REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130129.PROSP.01/ILM