FNUS71 KAKQ 311639 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR THOROFARE MARSH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1139 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... IN WAKE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT...COLD...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING BRINGING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 30 MPH LATE. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 35 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............32 26 26 26 25 25 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................45 47 46 44 43 42 41 RH..................42 39 36 34 31 32 36 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......20 20 21 20 18 17 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....40 40 40 40 35 35 30 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....37 36 36 35 36 36 36 VRATE KT-FT/1000....148 148 149 153 157 163 135 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................109 107 107 107 109 111 103 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29 TO 36 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............30 30 30 29 29 29 27 27 27 41 41 41 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH CH CH CH WEATHER TYPE........ SW SW SW SW SW SW TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 32 31 31 32 RH..................39 42 46 47 49 52 54 56 56 56 58 61 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD......13 10 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....36 36 33 31 29 29 30 29 23 17 13 12 VRATE KT-FT/1000....105 74 66 58 51 49 46 42 33 24 17 16 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................92 76 70 62 20 20 20 19 26 19 14 13 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-4500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 31 TO 35 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............82 82 82 70 70 70 41 41 41 28 28 28 WEATHER COV.........CH CH CH CH CH CH WEATHER TYPE........SW SW SW SW SW SW TSTM COV............ TEMP................33 34 33 31 30 31 32 33 34 34 34 31 RH..................61 63 60 58 55 47 43 38 36 35 35 37 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.4 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 10 12 14 15 16 17 16 15 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 30 25 25 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 16 17 18 21 25 31 35 35 33 31 31 VRATE KT-FT/1000....17 19 30 43 60 95 140 185 184 173 161 152 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................15 17 22 24 52 73 96 115 115 109 102 100 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 FORECASTER...MINNICK REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130131.THORO.01/AKQ