FNUS72 KILM 311544 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR PEN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1044 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON JANUARY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY UNDER MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. WIND SPEEDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND MUCH MORE SO TONIGHT...BUT AS A SECOND COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA JUST AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY...WINDS WILL AGAIN BECOME GUSTY DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 28 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............88. MAX LVORI...........1. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (153985 MPH-FT)...DECREASING TO GOOD (68655 MPH-FT) BY EARLY EVENING. SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 54 55 52 RH..................41 31 30 34 20 FT WIND..........W 13 W 13 W 12 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 23 20 SURFACE WIND........W 13 W 12 W 12 W 9 SURFACE WND GST.....25 25 23 20 MIX HGT (FT)........4400 5600 5600 3700 TRANSPORT WIND......W 25 W 23 W 28 W 18 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 ADI.................74 76 88 49 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...113 132 154 69 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX ADI.............13. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11730 MPH-FT). SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 5 4 6 8 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 44 40 39 39 37 RH..................38 50 59 64 66 70 20 FT WIND..........W 7 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 SURFACE WIND........W 9 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 SW 6 SURFACE WND GST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1400 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 8 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 4 4 ADI.................13 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...12 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....INCREASING TO WEST 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. MAX ADI.............98. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (172500 MPH-FT) SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............14 14 9 3 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................34 38 45 48 48 47 RH..................79 62 42 34 30 30 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 8 W 10 W 12 NW 12 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 18 20 20 18 SURFACE WIND........SW 7 SW 10 W 10 W 12 NW 12 NW 10 SURFACE WND GST.....10 15 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)........300 1000 2600 4200 5700 4400 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 SW 9 W 31 W 35 NW 30 NW 22 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................1 9 42 96 98 64 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 10 81 142 173 96 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL MALCOLM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130131.BEARP.01/ILM