FNUS72 KILM 011534 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR DOYLE DENNIS BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1034 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 EST ON FEBRUARY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE BURN AREA SHORTLY AFTER 11 AM THIS MORNING...TURNING GUSTY WEST WINDS NORTHWESTERLY. MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR WILL ALSO BUILD IN FOR THE AFTERNOON WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING FROM THE 20S DOWN TO NEAR 10 DEGREES BY 3-4 PM. OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH NO PRECIPITATION. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES FALLING TO SOME OF THE COLDEST READINGS OF THIS WINTER SEASON. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. BROTAK WIND PROFILE .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 32 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............81. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (72680-128224 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............14 29 8 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 51 48 44 RH..................35 28 25 26 20 FT WIND..........W 14 NW 13 NW 10 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....35 30 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)........2300 3600 5000 4300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 31 NW 31 NW 25 NW 21 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 ADI.................63 81 79 60 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...70 112 128 91 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22. MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MAX ADI.............13. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-55889 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 35 30 27 26 24 RH..................32 38 47 55 57 60 20 FT WIND..........NW 6 NW 4 N 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3000 900 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 18 W 12 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 3 3 ADI.................13 5 1 1 1 1 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...56 10 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1900-3600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. MAX ADI.............51. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-52439 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 2 7 11 23 41 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................22 28 40 46 48 49 RH..................65 55 37 33 35 43 20 FT WIND..........N 1 NE 1 E 2 SE 3 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........300 400 3000 3300 3600 2800 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 1 S 5 SW 10 SW 14 S 13 LVORI...............4 2 2 1 1 1 ADI.................1 1 18 35 50 40 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 0 15 35 51 37 $$ FORECASTER...MORGAN REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130201.DOYLE.01/ILM