FNUS72 KILM 011423 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HALIBURTON PARK...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 923 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0935 EST ON FEBRUARY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST ACROSS HALYBURTON PARK SHORTLY AFTER 11 AM THIS MORNING...TURNING GUSTY WEST WINDS NORTHWESTERLY. MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR WILL ALSO BUILD IN FOR THE AFTERNOON WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING FROM THE 20S DOWN TO NEAR 10 DEGREES BY 3-4 PM. OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH NO PRECIPITATION. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES FALLING TO SOME OF THE COLDEST READINGS OF THIS WINTER SEASON. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. BROTAK WIND PROFILE .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH...TURNING NORTHWEST SHORTLY AFTER 11 AM. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............84. MAX LVORI...........1. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (145000 MPH-FT) TIME (EST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............16 11 17 4 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................53 53 48 46 40 RH..................42 37 29 28 33 20 FT WIND..........W 16 W 16 NW 13 NW 10 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....33 33 26 24 21 MIX HGT (FT)........2000 3000 4400 5100 3800 TRANSPORT WIND......W 24 W 33 NW 29 NW 24 NW 22 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................30 80 82 74 58 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...48 99 124 122 81 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT... BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL EARLY...DECREASING TO 300 FT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 7 TO 11 MPH OVERNIGHT. MAX ADI.............14. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (65089 MPH-FT) EARLY...DECREASING TO POOR (4140 MPH-FT) OVERNIGHT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 36 31 28 26 25 RH..................35 40 48 55 58 61 20 FT WIND..........NW 7 NW 5 N 5 N 5 N 4 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3100 1100 400 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 21 W 13 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 3 3 ADI.................14 9 1 1 1 1 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...65 14 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-3600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............47. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-47609 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 2 6 11 22 41 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................23 28 39 45 48 48 RH..................67 56 39 34 36 43 20 FT WIND..........N 2 NE 2 E 2 SE 3 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........300 400 2900 3300 3600 2800 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 1 SW 5 S 6 S 10 S 14 LVORI...............4 2 2 2 1 1 ADI.................1 1 17 21 36 43 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 1 14 20 37 39 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL MALCOLM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130201.HALIB.01/ILM