FNUS72 KILM 011537 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR WOOTEN BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1037 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE BURN AREA AT THE MOMENT...TURNING GUSTY WEST WINDS NORTHWESTERLY. MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR WILL ALSO BUILD IN FOR THE AFTERNOON WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING FROM THE 20S DOWN TO NEAR 10 DEGREES BY 3-4 PM. OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH NO PRECIPITATION. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES FALLING TO SOME OF THE COLDEST READINGS OF THIS WINTER SEASON. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. BROTAK WIND PROFILE .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH. MAX ADI.............75. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (73715-123509 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............11 18 8 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 49 45 40 RH..................37 27 22 26 20 FT WIND..........W 13 NW 11 NW 10 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........2300 3700 5100 4400 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 28 NW 28 NW 24 NW 21 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 ADI.................58 75 75 60 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...65 104 124 92 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20. MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MAX ADI.............12. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-55889 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 33 28 25 24 22 RH..................33 38 47 55 57 59 20 FT WIND..........NW 5 NW 3 N 2 N 2 N 1 N 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3000 900 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 18 W 10 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 3 3 ADI.................12 5 1 1 1 1 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...56 10 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH. MAX ADI.............60. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-49219 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (24034-63479 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 3 9 14 26 43 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................20 26 37 44 48 49 RH..................64 51 33 27 27 33 20 FT WIND..........N 0 NE 1 E 2 S 3 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........300 400 2800 3300 3900 3000 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 1 SW 6 SW 12 SW 16 S 15 LVORI...............3 2 2 1 1 1 ADI.................1 1 19 38 58 49 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 0 15 38 61 45 $$ FORECASTER...MORGAN REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130201.WOOTE.01/ILM