FNUS72 KTAE 011322
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLING WATERS STATE PARK ZONE B...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
822 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CST ON FEBRUARY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS AND HIGH DISPERSION VALUES WILL SUPPORT
RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN NORTH FLORIDA TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE EVEN DRIER ON SATURDAY...WITH MINIMUM VALUES
AROUND 20 PERCENT. HOWEVER...THE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER SO RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE ONLY ANTICIPATED IN A FEW COUNTIES IN NORTH FLORIDA.
SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE HIGH TODAY...BUT MUCH LOWER TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. (50-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH
                    MID TO LATE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX AROUND 90.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     40     30     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     48     54     59     56
RH..............71     49     33     27     29
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 6    N 10   N 10   N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      16     18     17     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MIN AROUND 4.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX AROUND 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX AROUND 40.

$$

FORECASTER...JEFF FOURNIER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF PETTIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130201.FALLI.01/TAE