FNUS72 KMFL 031330
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUDA STATION...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
830 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 EST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK DRY FRONT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION EARLIER THIS MORNING AND
IS USHERING IN A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS. A WEAK NORTH NORTHWEST TO
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION AND THE BURN SITE
TODAY. THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH DEW POINTS
ACROSS THE BURN SITE EXPECTED TO DECREASE THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTH
FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM THIS EVENING WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO BE BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FOR 4 OR MORE
HOURS TODAY. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE BURN
SITE ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 23 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........7      7      7      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55     65     70     74     73     66
RH..............80     51     33     25     26     38
20 FT WIND......NW 2   N 5    N 6    N 6    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2400   3000   3000   2700   2700
MIXNG WIND......NW 5   N 10   N 14   N 14   N 10   N 10
DISPERSION IDX..7      32     43     43     35     35
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      1      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130203.DUDAS.01/MFL