FNUS72 KTAE 031249 FWSTAE SPOT FORECAST FOR SAPLING HEAD...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 749 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0742 EST ON FEBRUARY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835. ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT...DISPERSIONS GREATER THAN 75...AND ERCS OF 20 OR GREATER... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LEON AND WAKULLA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT AND ERCS OF 35 OR GREATER... .DISCUSSION...WITH THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND STILL FAIRLY MILD AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES...ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE ZONES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THIS...COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH DISPERSIONS AND ERCS GREATER THAN 20 SHOULD RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA. THEREFORE...EXTENDED THE CURRENT WARNING TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST. ON MONDAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. HOWEVER...WITHOUT THE HIGH DISPERSIONS...ERCS WILL NEED TO BE 35 OR GREATER. FOR NOW...ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR LEON AND WAKULLA COUNTIES...WHICH MAY NEED EXPANSION IF FORECAST ERCS BECOME HIGHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........47 47 27 7 7 6 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 49 57 64 68 63 RH..............84 67 50 31 23 28 20 FT WIND......N 1 N 2 NW 5 NW 6 W 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1 N 2 NW 5 NW 6 W 6 W 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 10 15 15 15 15 DISPERSION......MAX 104. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING...DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........6 5 8 8 10 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 54 47 42 40 38 RH..............32 43 56 67 71 74 20 FT WIND......W 4 W 2 W 2 W 1 NW 1 N 1 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 4 W 2 W 2 W 1 NW 1 N 1 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 10 10 10 10 10 DISPERSION......MIN 5. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........21 32 38 38 44 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 39 49 61 63 63 RH..............78 69 49 32 32 34 20 FT WIND......N 1 NE 2 E 5 S 4 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1 NE 2 E 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 10 10 10 10 DISPERSION......MAX 43. $$ FORECASTER...TIM BARRY REQUESTED BY...KENNY FORAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130203.SAPLI.01/TAE