FNUS74 KLIX 041701 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-14...U.S. FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1101 AM CST MON FEB 4 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK. 2 WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE FIRST WILL BE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE SECOND DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY. EXPECT AROUND HALF AN INCH OR MORE WITH EACH SYSTEM AND DRYER DAYS BETWEEN THEM. 1. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY BEFORE RAIN SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE BURN AREA SITE. THE HIGHEST RISK TIME WOULD BE FROM MIDNIGHT TO 8 AM TUESDAY. BETTER CHANCE OF FOG EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT. 2. THE TWO BURN SITES...CTP 06 AND CTP 14 ARE VERY CLOSE TOGETHER. WIND SPEEDS MIGHT BE SLIGHTLY MORE AT CTP 14...JUST BECAUSE IT IS CLOSER TO THE COAST. A STATIONARY FRONT WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE BURN SITE LATE TUESDAY. WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED ARE BASED ON THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. 3. TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN FROM EAST TO SOUTH AS SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DEVELOPS OVER LOUISIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT. 4. GREATEST RISK TIME OF RAIN IS FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM TUESDAY. EXPECT BETWEEN 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF RAINFALL. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........88 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW TEMP............60 63 63 63 63 63 62 62 RH..............55 49 45 46 50 58 64 72 DEWPOINT........41 42 43 44 45 47 48 49 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 10 10 10 10 9 9 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 DISPERSION......11 39 39 39 49 49 49 49 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 58 57 56 56 55 RH..............72 80 86 93 93 96 DEWPOINT........49 50 51 52 52 53 20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1700 1100 1000 1000 800 MIX HGT (M).....520 520 340 300 300 240 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 12 S 13 SE 12 SE 12 S 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 5 S 5 S 6 SE 5 SE 5 S 4 DISPERSION......27 27 14 8 8 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 .TUESDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 92 92 92 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 57 65 68 70 69 RH..............100 93 84 73 71 73 DEWPOINT........54 56 58 59 60 59 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....600 600 1700 1900 1900 3000 MIX HGT (M).....180 180 520 580 580 910 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 SE 7 S 10 SE 6 SE 6 S 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 3 SE 3 S 4 SE 3 SE 3 S 4 DISPERSION......5 5 14 25 25 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130204.CPTG1.01/LIX