FNUS76 KLOX 050637
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHILAO BURN...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1037 PM PST MON FEB 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 PST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH
THURSDAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FLATTENS.
A GRADUAL COOLING AND MOISTENING TREND WILL DEVELOP THROUGH LATE
WEEK. BY THURSDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
MOVE INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCREASING CLOUDINESS ALONG WITH
GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS TO THE BURN AREA. AS THE WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES
SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT COOLING
WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
x09x09    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-63 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. AN
x09x09    OCCASIONAL GUST TO 15 MPH BETWEEN 1400 AND
x09x09    1600 HOURS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LIFTING TO 5000 FT AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE 3 MPH OR LESS UNTIL 1400
x09x09    HOURS...BECOMING WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-42 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 2300 HOURS...
x09x09    BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL EARLY FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR
x09x09    LESS BY 2000 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH DIMINISHING TO WEST 3 TO 5 MPH
x09x09    BY 2000 HOURS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1000 HOURS...
x09x09    BECOMING TO WEST TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS LIFTING  TO 3500 FT AGL BY
x09x09    1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........51-55 DEGREES.
RH..................34-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING
x09x09    TO 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH...
x09x09    BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS
x09x09    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........42-47 DEGREES.
RH..................65-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING
x09x09    TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH...
x09x09    BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS
x09x09    TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...ANDRES LUNA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130204.CHILA.02/LOX

$$