FNUS72 KMFL 041454
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIGHTON...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
954 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0945 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LOCALLY STABLE AND DRY AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN SITE.
THROUGH MID MORNING SURFACE WINDS WILL VARY FROM NEAR CALM
TO LIGHT NORTHERLY BUT AS THE DAY PROGRESSES WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND LIGHT. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE BURN SITE ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS STARTING AROUND 17Z AND COULD PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
BY TUESDAY EASTERLY FLOW  WILL RETURN TO THE REGION AND BRING SOME MOISTURE BACK
ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES ACROSS
THE BURN SITE TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 19 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 32 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64     71     74     74     69     58
RH..............57     31     23     20     29     40
20 FT WIND......S 1    S 1    S 2    E 2    E 2    NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   2000   3000   3000   2700   1500
MIXNG WIND......E 7    E 7    SE 9   S 9    S 6    NW 2
DISPERSION IDX..22     22     32     32     19     1
LVORI...........3      2      1      2      2      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 77 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 37 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130204.BRIGH.01/MFL