FNUS72 KMFL 041244
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR GALSON RX...BIG CYPRESS NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
744 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LOCALLY STABLE AND DRY AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN SITE
THIS MORNING. INITIALLY SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE SITE WILL BE
LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE...BUT AS THE DAY PROGRESSES WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND LIGHT. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE BURN SITE ARE EXPECTED TO BE JUST BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS STARTING AROUND 17Z AND PERSISTING TO ABOUT 21Z. BY TUESDAY
EASTERLY FLOW  WILL RETURN TO THE REGION AND BRING SOME MOISTURE BACK
ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES ACROSS
THE BURN SITE TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGE IN THE
LATE MORNING TO THE LOWER PART OF THE  GENERALLY GOOD RANGE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27 INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
20 FT WIND......E 4    SE 5   SE 5   SE 4   S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   3400   3400   3000   1600   1600
MIXNG WIND......E 7    SE 10  SE 10  SE 7   S 3    S 3
DISPERSION IDX..27     41     41     26     2      2
LVORI...........2      1      1      2      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      10     10

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 35 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...JEREMIAH THATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130204.GALSO.01/MFL