FNUS72 KMFL 041326
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLAZA EAST...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
826 AM EST MON FEB 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LOCALLY STABLE AND DRY AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN SITE.
SURFACE WINDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS COULD VARY FROM NEAR CALM
TO LIGHT NORTHERLY BUT AS THE DAY PROGRESSES WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND LIGHT. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE BURN SITE ARE EXPECTED TO BE JUST BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS STARTING AROUND 18Z AND PERSISTING TO ABOUT 21Z. BY TUESDAY
EASTERLY FLOW  WILL RETURN TO THE REGION AND BRING SOME MOISTURE BACK
ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES ACROSS
THE BURN SITE TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 32.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     20     20     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64     71     74     74     66     60
RH..............47     36     31     33     48     65
20 FT WIND......NE 4   NE 4   SE 5   SE 4   SE 4   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   2100   3000   2900   2900   1600
MIXNG WIND......NE 7   NE 7   SE 9   SE 7   SE 7   S 5
DISPERSION IDX..23     23     36     27     27     2
LVORI...........2      2      1      2      2      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130204.PLAZA.01/MFL