FNUS74 KEWX 061608
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALCONES PILES RX...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1008 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
MORNING AND PRODUCING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF I-35 CORRIDOR. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND
AWAY FROM LAGO VISTA AND VICINITY THROUGH THE DAY AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE
CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTHEAST. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANGE FOR SHOWERS THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PERIOD ACROSS TRAVIS COUNTY...HOWEVER...LATEST
RADAR TRENDS ARE SHOWING DRY CONDITIONS QUICKLY SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11 AM   1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........95      89     89     89
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............62      63     64     64
RH..............84      83     81     77
20 FT WIND......110 7  110 8   90 8   90 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10      15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5    E 6    E 6    E 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..10      15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5       5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...17
REQUESTED BY...ROB VERNACHIO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130206.BALCO.01/EWX