FNUS72 KJAX 060745
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COJ ISLAND BURN...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
245 AM EST WED FEB 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING AND
THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO STALL OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTHEAST OF THE REGION. THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN
THURSDAY NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AS THE LOW APPROACHES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER
NORTHEAST FLORIDA NEAR 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 33.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........72     63     56     52
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     68     68     68
RH..............61     61     63     69
20 FT WIND......N 6    NE 8   NE 9   NE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   2700   2600   2300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8   E 12   E 13   E 15
LVORI...........2      2      2      3
DISPERSION INDX.20     27     29     35
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 DECREASING TO 8 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........48     48     52     56     62     70
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     62     61     60     59     58
RH..............74     83     88     91     95     99
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 9   E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1000   700    500    300    100
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 16  NE 17  E 15   E 10   E 8    E 8
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      7      8
DISPERSION INDX.19     16     14     10     7      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130206.COJIS.01/JAX