FNUS72 KJAX 061149
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLD HEAD LAKE UNIT...FL DEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
649 AM EST WED FEB 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING AND
THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO STALL OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTHEAST OF THE REGION. THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN
THURSDAY NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AS THE LOW APPROACHES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER
NORTHEAST FLORIDA NEAR 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL
                    BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 27.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........70     63     60     63
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     74     75     75
RH..............58     44     43     44
20 FT WIND......SE 2   E 2    E 3    NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   4400   4500   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 7    SE 6   NE 8
LVORI...........2      2      2      2
DISPERSION INDX.26     27     24     25
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 1 TO
                    2 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........66     67     66     65     68     76
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     60     57     56     56     56
RH..............57     80     92     97     98     99
20 FT WIND......NE 6   NE 6   NE 3   E 2    E 1    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   1200   500    200    100    100
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12  NE 10  NE 3   E 1    E 1    E 2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13
                    TO 16 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 55.

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TEALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130206.GOLDH.01/JAX