FNUS73 KLSX 061501
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CUB CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
901 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL 5 PM BEFORE CLOUDS
OVER ARKANSAS MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION.  TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL TODAY BEFORE CLOUDS MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND RAIN CHANCES INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH THE DAY
TOMORROW.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 TO 5 MPH AT IGNITION
                    AND DURING THE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WIND DURING MID
                    MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    2800 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4383 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 7 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTWEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON...
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 7 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (6143 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WOODS  DFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130206.CUBCR.01/LSX