FNUS73 KPAH 061405 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR 020613FCTA4...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 805 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON FEBRUARY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST FROM ILLINOIS...PASSING ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF DRY WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS...PASSING ACROSS INDIANA THURSDAY EVENING. A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTHWEST FROM THIS LOW WILL CROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS WILL SPREAD ACROSS OUR REGION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 54. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 51 52 53 52 50 RH..............48 44 43 41 41 46 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.0 3.2 3.0 2.2 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 2 2 3 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 45 43 42 40 39 RH..............51 60 65 70 73 76 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 3 E 3 E 4 SE 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....400 200 200 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 8 E 8 E 8 E 8 E 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 38 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............38 43 51 55 RH..............82 86 80 72 20 FT WIND......SE 3G5 S 5G10 S 6G10 S 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1500 1200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 S 12 S 16 S 14 CWR.............0 0 40 40 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...ERIC STRICKLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130206.02061.01/PAH