FNUS73 KSGF 061024 AAA FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUTE RIDGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 424 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE THIS MORNING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE 8 TO 12 MPH RANGE. THERE COULD BE SOME LOCAL FUNNELING THROUGH THE VALLEY UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER IGNITION TIME...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER SUSTAINED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. ANY FUNNEL EFFECTS WILL THEN DISSIPATE BY MIDDAY...HOWEVER WIND GUST POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE AS HIGHER MOMENTUM WINDS ARE MIXED DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THE WIND GUST POTENTIAL WILL QUICKLY DECREASE BETWEEN 5 AND 6 PM. LOOKING AHEAD...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR A WETTING RAIN FROM MIDDAY THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT AROUND 4 PM ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 55 59 62 63 64 62 59 RH..............55 47 43 40 38 37 41 46 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 11 11 12 11 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.1 1.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 17 18 20 20 21 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 86 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM TEMP............57 53 51 51 49 47 RH..............54 63 71 78 82 85 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 SE 6 SE 5 SE 4 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 900 700 500 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 20 S 17 S 15 S 13 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 59. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 68 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........WIND SHIFT TO NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 4 PM. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............47 53 59 58 RH..............85 72 71 68 20 FT WIND......E 3G5 S 4G5 SW 6G10 W 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 700 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 12 SW 15 NW 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 70 50 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 33. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 62 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 49 43 38 33 38 51 57 RH..............71 76 76 84 85 74 46 39 20 FT WIND......N 7G15 N 5G10 N 5G10 N 4G5 NE 3G5 E 4G5 E 5G10 SE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 400 400 500 400 400 1100 2900 TRANSPORT WIND..N 20 N 18 NE 17 NE 16 NE 15 NE 13 E 12 E 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SCHAUMANN REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130206.CHUTE.01/SGF