FNUS73 KSGF 061058 AAB FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUTE RIDGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 458 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE THIS MORNING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE 9 TO 13 MPH RANGE. THERE COULD BE SOME LOCAL FUNNELING THROUGH THE VALLEY UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER IGNITION TIME...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER SUSTAINED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. ANY FUNNEL EFFECTS WILL THEN DISSIPATE BY MIDDAY...HOWEVER WIND GUST POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE AS HIGHER MOMENTUM WINDS ARE MIXED DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THE WIND GUST POTENTIAL WILL QUICKLY DECREASE BETWEEN 5 AND 6 PM. LOOKING AHEAD...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR A WETTING RAIN FROM MIDDAY THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT AROUND 4 PM ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 55 59 62 63 64 62 59 RH..............56 47 43 40 38 37 41 46 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 11 11 11 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 15 17 18 21 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 46. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM TEMP............57 53 51 50 48 47 RH..............55 63 71 79 84 85 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1000 700 600 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 22 S 21 S 17 S 14 S 13 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 59. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 67 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........WIND SHIFT TO NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 4 PM. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 50 57 58 RH..............88 82 75 67 20 FT WIND......SE 3G5 S 4G5 SW 5G10 W 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 1100 800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 9 SW 10 NW 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 70 50 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 33. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 61 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 46 42 37 33 38 51 56 RH..............72 79 77 82 82 72 46 38 20 FT WIND......N 7G15 N 5G10 N 5G10 N 5G10 NE 4G5 NE 4G5 E 5G10 E 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 700 500 500 300 400 1100 2400 TRANSPORT WIND..N 23 N 21 N 17 N 16 N 16 NE 14 NE 12 E 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SCHAUMANN REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130206.CHUTE.01/SGF