FNUS72 KILM 071458 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR BELL TRACT...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 958 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF STATES WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SOAKING RAINS TONIGHT AS IT RACES UP THE EASTERN SEA BOARD THROUGH FRIDAY. FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK WITH A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE REGION THROUGH MID-WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE TYPE 1-B. MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 1800 FT AGL...DIRECTION 09 SPEED 37 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............53. MAX LVORI...........5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-40480 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............71 86 95 97 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 54 58 57 RH..................76 65 61 65 20 FT WIND..........NE 6 NE 8 NE 10 NE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........400 1100 1700 2000 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 14 NE 17 NE 20 NE 21 LVORI...............3 1 1 1 ADI.................15 40 53 49 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...5 19 34 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............35. MAX LVORI...........5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-25644 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............99 99 97 96 93 89 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 53 51 50 49 49 RH..................73 81 86 88 88 88 20 FT WIND..........NE 10 NE 10 NE 8 NE 6 NE 7 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 15 20 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 4 4 ADI.................35 27 29 21 18 15 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...26 11 5 4 2 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. MAX ADI.............84. MAX LVORI...........5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1609-56004 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............85 80 74 69 62 53 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 48 49 53 57 58 RH..................88 88 90 80 71 66 20 FT WIND..........N 10 N 11 NW 10 NW 9 NW 8 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)........100 500 1300 2200 3100 3500 TRANSPORT WIND......N 21 N 22 NW 21 NW 18 NW 17 NW 15 LVORI...............5 5 4 3 3 1 ADI.................7 9 21 46 55 84 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 12 27 40 54 52 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130207.BELLT.01/ILM