FNUS72 KILM 091334 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDY ISLAND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 834 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EST ON FEBRUARY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE AREA TODAY...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR THE BURN SITE WILL BE AROUND 25 PERCENT AT IGNITION TIME. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD TONIGHT...AND WINDS WILL GO TO NEAR CALM AS A SURFACE INVERSION DEVELOPS SHORTLY AFTER DARK...BUT WILL RISE TO A FEW MPH FROM THE EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT. THE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVERNIGHT BUT FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIP OFF THE COAST ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BRINGING RAIN CHANCES MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. BROTAK WIND PROFILE TODAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH. MAX ADI.............41. MAX LVORI...........2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22885-41745 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............1 1 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 53 RH..................26 28 20 FT WIND..........N 6 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 MIX HGT (FT)........3600 2200 TRANSPORT WIND......N 12 N 10 LVORI...............1 2 ADI.................41 27 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...42 23 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX ADI.............4. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (919-6669 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............3 6 13 20 26 30 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 43 41 39 37 35 RH..................33 46 55 61 65 71 20 FT WIND..........N 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)........800 400 300 300 300 400 TRANSPORT WIND......N 8 N 6 NE 3 E 3 E 6 E 7 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 3 3 ADI.................4 3 2 2 3 3 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...7 3 1 1 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1609-50139 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD (50024-64054 MPH-FT) LATE. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............34 44 49 54 60 68 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................33 41 53 60 62 60 RH..................80 63 46 41 42 49 20 FT WIND..........NE 5 NE 5 E 5 E 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 700 1700 2300 3100 3500 TRANSPORT WIND......E 7 E 9 E 14 E 15 E 16 SE 18 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2 6 23 35 50 64 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130209.SANDY.01/ILM