FNUS72 KTAE 101322 FWSTAE SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 822 AM EST SUN FEB 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING EAST INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH BREEZY AND GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN HIGH. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AND BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS TO THE AREA. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN MOIST INTO WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH IT WILL DRY OUT DURING THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK...HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................40 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1800...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 21 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION..........MAX 50. TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........91 91 96 94 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............58 63 66 68 RH..............85 80 78 78 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 TRANSPORT SP/DR.SE 7 SE 10 SE 15 SE 23 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................60 PERCENT. LAL.................2. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH. DISPERSION..........MIN 25. TIME (CST) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM SKY (%).........94 95 90 90 87 88 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 66 67 68 68 68 RH..............84 83 82 82 83 85 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 15 TRANSPORT SP/DR.SE 23 SE 23 SE 21 SE 20 SE 20 S 18 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................70 PERCENT. LAL.................3. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST. DISPERSION..........MAX 32. TIME (CST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........88 93 90 90 88 89 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP............68 67 67 67 67 67 RH..............86 89 89 86 83 79 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 4 SW 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 TRANSPORT SP/DR.S 18 S 10 S 10 SW 14 SW 14 SW 15 $$ FORECASTER...TIM BARRY REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130210.JACKS.01/TAE